No one will not understand that Africa ( the milky cow of the world) is once more having a new master. China is now strong in Africa pumping billions of USD to different programs and projects with little or no attention to governance, human rights and accountability. The truth is, China is luring Africa to another round of colonization and slavery. Russia a...nd China last week Vetoed a UN resolution to stop the killing in Syria. If you can turn your eyes from such huge killings, what then is that compared to poverty in Africa? China, we are watching. You are no development partner, you need our milk for your chicken change funding.
Africans must look beyond what we see
In Syria, more than 5,400 people have been killed since March, according to the U.N., and now regime opponents fear that Assad will be emboldened by the feeling he is protected by his top ally Moscow and unleash even greater violence to crush protesters. If the opposition turns overtly to armed resistance, the result could be a dramatic increase in bloodshed.
At least 30 civilians were killed this Sunday, including five children and a woman who was hit by a bullet while standing on her balcony as troops fired on protesters in a Damascus suburb, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an activist group.
HOW THEN CAN YOU THINK ANYONE WITH A HUMAN HEART WILL VETO ANY UN RESOLUTION AGAINST SUCH SYSTEMS?
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Friday, February 3, 2012
Democracy and Peace
Democracy, Democratisation and Peace – Lessons from Recent Experience
It is generally acknowledged that democracy is good for peace. This has become an unchallenged truth, often expressed without important nuances. Support for democratisation is widely and rightly regarded as an essential component of building peace and stability but the lack of nuance means there is a persistent risk that the challenges involved in democratisation are ignored or at least understated. In particular, experience has shown that external actors seeking to support democratisation often have much too short a frame in mind. As a result, elections are often associated with increased risks of renewed violence in countries attempting to recover from violent conflict.
1. The democratic peace
The emphasis on democratisation arose quickly after the end of the Cold War, as the UN and several rich country governments started to get more involved in what later became known as peacebuilding. It grew straight out of the normative emphasis on the value of democracy, based both on rights and on peace.
In the study of international relations, what has been called the nearest thing to an empiri-cal law that the discipline has is the finding that democracies do not go to war with each other. When it comes to domestic peace, the picture is not so absolute but there are sound theoretical reasons backed by evidence for the view that established democracies are less prone to civil war and political instability. It is no coincidence that 27 of the top 30 countries in the Global Peace Index are established democracies.
This is not to say that all democracies are equally peaceful. Measured by violent crime, for example, the USA is less peaceful than one neighbour, Canada, yet considerably more peaceful than the other neighbour, Mexico – democratic countries, all three. Other political systems can also be peaceful. Hitler’s Germany and Stalin’s USSR were not the only Euro-pean totalitarian regimes of their day: Salazar’s Portugal and even Franco’s Spain, despite the violence of the Spanish civil war, showed far less inclination for war with other states. The non-democratic USSR was a more peaceful place in terms of both violent crime and po-litical instability, than many of the countries that emerged from its break-up. Qatar, Kuwait and Vietnam are all in the top 30 places in the Global Peace Index.
Because democracy is not a universal component of either international or internal peace, it can be argued that it is not a necessary condition of peace. On the other hand, leaving all considerations of freedom to one side, democracy is broadly speaking more peace-friendly than the alternatives.
2. The democratic impulse
Of course, the consideration of freedom cannot be left to one side. Jaded witnesses of international politics may be all too aware of how the vocabulary of democracy can be used to justify almost any policy - invasion, repression, torture, opening a country’s natural resources up for exploitation and more. But when freedom has been denied, government has been arbitrary, a narrow elite has grabbed power and wealth for itself, or peace has been disrupted, and then when the opportunity for democracy arises – people tend to grab it with both hands. The evidence is all around: the impulse behind the Arab Spring in 2011, the people who queued for hours in the boiling sun in South Africa in the first free election in 2004, those who queued under artillery bombardment by the Khmer Rouge in order to vote in Cambodia in 1993, the excited chaos of 110 parties standing in the 2011 elections in Tunisia, the embrace of parliamentary democracy by the people of Kyrgyzstan despite it being new in central Asia. Wherever we look, the onset of democracy brings hope and the excitement because it offers people the chance to be citizens rather than subjects and it offers their countries the chance of forward movement rather than stasis.
3. To travel is less blessed than to be there already
There is, however, a problem. The finding about the positive relationship between democ-racy and peace applies to established democracies, those in which executive government power changes hands non-violently as a result of free and fair democratic elections. The situation of those countries that are on the way to that desired condition but have not arrived is radically different.
More dangerous than either democracy or dictatorship is the in-between condition, what is often called anocracy – a system of governance that is neither fully democratic nor wholly autocratic, and is not really a system at all, in fact. The rules of the game are unclear, politi-cal opposition is sometimes permitted by those who hold power, sometimes not, elections are held but are neither free nor fair, some opinions can be expressed freely even if the re-gime does not like them yet others are wholly forbidden. And of such ‘systems’, the most dangerous situation is to be found in those that are in transition from dictatorship to de-mocracy.
The destination, then, is highly desirable but the journey is full of danger. It follows that the underlying commitment to democracy as a system of government that is desirable both in terms of its recognition of citizens’ rights and responsibilities and of its impact on the prospects for peace has to be nuanced by a recognition of the dangers of democratisation.
This key distinction is broadly understood within the communities of official and non-official actors in development, peacebuilding and support for democratic transition. But in the alm-ost brutal simplification of concepts and discourse that can occur when high profile issues are debated and decided by political leaders, it is a distinction that can be all too easily lost.
4. The burden of democratisation
There is, nonetheless, a growing discussion and policy literature on the relationship between peacebuilding and statebuilding. This is broadly tending to the conclusion that these are not two separate tasks but a single one – building a peaceful state. That this is of fundamental importance is widely recognized, powerfully demonstrated through the statistic from the World Bank’s World Development Report 2011 that 1.5 billion people live in conflict-affected and fragile states, and that in none of those countries has even a single Millennium Development Goal yet been achieved.
However, while this drives home the profound importance of the goal of building a peaceful state, there seems to be not much reflection about how much is being asked of states co-ming out of conflict when they are pressed to head off down this dangerous road.
At the same time as they are called upon to take the perilous road to democracy, these sta-tes are also being pressed by the international community to get their economic develop-ment moving so they are not too reliant for too long on international hand-outs. To assess how realistic the expectation behind this pressure is would take us into a discussion of the track record of economic development assistance – a rather different topic. For the mo-ment, we can focus on the uncomfortable truth that economic development itself is a pro-cess that is full of conflict, producing winners and losers. Countries attempting to avoid relapsing into violent conflict thus face two massive tasks, each one holding great dangers. The fundamental tasks of peacebuilding and development are full of risk.
This perilous journey is worth it because of the benefits – freedom from want and fear. It is probably true to say that at the start of the new era after the end of the Cold War, the benefits were much more clearly perceived than the risks. In Bosnia and Herzegovina, the process of preparing for the first democratic elections was compacted for American political reasons into less than a year from the signing of the Dayton Accord in November 1995 to the first election in September 1996. While the continuing heavy presence of international armed forces ensured there was no renewed outbreak of violent conflict, the election process itself did not result in much political renewal in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Not only the same attitudes dominated politics as before the war but also, with the exception of those who were indicted war criminals, the same political actors.
Perhaps the most decisive lesson learned from those elections and what followed was never to hold premature elections in conflict-torn countries. But the same criticism of prematurity could be directed at the first post-war elections in DRC in 2006 even though it had been three years since the peace agreement was signed and the transitional government instal-led. So defining what is premature is complex and there is no template or golden rule for calculating it. At the same time, delaying elections defies the impatience for elections and excitement at the prospect that the democratic possibility generates. Indeed, concern about the risks of democratisation is often interpreted as an excuse for non-democracy.
5. Critiques of the ‘liberal peace’
All this implies the need for democratisation to be carefully managed and directed. To see this as a technical challenge and consider what instruments should be deployed to meet it is the default mode in the international development community. Unfortunately, it completely misses the point.
The challenge is primarily political. Elections do indeed need technical preparation – electo-ral registers, officials trained in procedures, enough police to ensure security, educational material in appropriate forms and media so people know how to vote, laws for how to ad-minister elections, and clear rules about acceptable modes of political campaigning, among others. The November 2011 elections in DRC – with 18,000 candidates and a complex sys-tem of proportional voting when many of the voters are not literate – underlines the impor-tance of the technicalities. But focusing wholly on the technical preparations obscures the importance of changes in political culture so that democracy can thrive. Normally, with quick elections, the old elite becomes the new elite. After longer preparation, especially if citizenship has strengthened and political parties have absorbed a code of conduct, it is still possible that the old elite gets back into power but there is more chance it will be because of informed popular choice rather than through lack of alternatives or because the elections were illicitly fixed.
The importance of the shift in political culture that may be needed so free and fair elections can be held raises the question, if democratisation should be a carefully managed process, who should manage it? Who owns it? How can democracy be built by outside actors controlling the process?
This is one of the biggest dilemmas within what has come to be known – especially by its critics – as the liberal peace, the emphasis on support for building peaceful states. Starting from this challenge on ownership, what often comes next is a deeper rejection of democra-tic notions that are seen as a western imposition of a western pre-conception of how poli-tics should be conducted.
6. The authenticity of democratisation
This critique challenges the authenticity of democratisation conducted with external as-sistance. It therefore can seem difficult to respond to. But there are many ways to pick it apart. To begin with, there is no single western conception of how politics should be conducted. Further, support for democratisation has not focused only on one system. But the most powerful rebuttal is the enthusiasm of ordinary people for expressing their rights as citizens through the vote.
It is nonetheless essential to engage with the issue of authenticity itself. Is the external actor supporting something that is authentically part of the society that is attempting to build a peaceful state? And how can the external actor know that is the case?
Best practice guidance from OECD-DAC talks of alignment with states – but how is this to be expressed in practice if the state is rudimentary? Or in the hands of an irresponsible elite fraction that is itself a major part of the problem of instability and risk of violent conflict?
Donor governments need bilateral counterparts whom they can assume are responsible. This is not always the reality and there is a danger that donor governments then assume that whoever holds the reins of power in the immediate aftermath of war is responsible.
While politics must lead, the technical aspects are important. For example, the transitional phase in Liberia from 2003 to 2005 was far better constructed than the transitional phase in DRC from 2003 to 2006, because in Liberia those who held power in the transition were bar-red from running for president. In Kyrgyzstan in 2010, the same was true for the interim President Roza Otunbayeva, who assumed power, was confirmed in post by the constitutional referendum and barred from running for President in November 2011. This simple safe-guard allows time for a shift in political culture to begin to unfold but, of course, it must first be agreed to by those who have the power. There was no such agreement in DRC in 2003 and so those who had come to power at the head of insurgencies held power during the transition and contested power three years later with the inevitable effect of winner-takes-all. Whether the technical instrument of an insulated transitional phase such as Kyrgyzstan’s or Liberia’s is possible is ultimately dependent on politics pure and simple.
7. The limits of support for democratisation
If these reflections suggest some lessons learned and a fruitful path for democratisation support to take in the coming years, any conclusions must be hedged around with caution. To repeat, the issue of authenticity really does matter. If democratisation is working in Kyrgyzstan or Liberia, it is working primarily because of its Kyrgyz and Liberian drivers. If it is flawed, it is flawed primarily because of them. The dilemma for external assistance is that it can only assist – and as soon as it falls prey to the temptation to go beyond that, substitu-ting for an absent political impulse, for example, its role becomes different and potentially damaging.
Again this emphasises that technical solutions are secondary to political solutions. The World Bank’s World Development Report 2011 identifies ‘adequately inclusive coalitions’ as a key component of cases where states have successfully managed to undertake the self-transformative journey out of chronic instability. This would suggest that external actors inc-luding international organisations and bilateral donors should think of their role as being supportive of such a coalition in countries setting out on that same journey. It is possible and perhaps even probable that the government in a given country will itself be an ‘adequately inclusive coalition,’ in which case the assumptions embedded in the OECD-DAC’s guidance will be operative. But there are also instances where that is not the case, when external actors can ally with a coalition of political and social forces that has not yet become the government – Egypt in November 2011 is a good example.
The further question arises here of whether political judgement would always mean suppor-ting democratisation. There is an argument that when external actors drive democratisation in a country, they risk destabilising systems of power and authority that are working reaso-nably well and offer a reasonable degree of social and political peace, with no guarantee that the democratic alternative will do any better or even as well.
An often missing but ultimately indispensable part of this discussion hinges on a distinction between countries that have governments that are responsible and responsive to what they perceive to be the needs of the country and its citizens, and countries that lack such good fortune. It is a distinction between governments that pursue a concept of the common good of their country, and governments that do not. On the one hand, a country such as South Korea pre-democratisation had a leadership with a clear sense of national duty; on the other hand, in many countries – both with and without natural resource wealth – democratic forms go along with nepotism, corruption and clan-based partisanship in government. There can be, in other words, responsible and responsive governments that are not democratic and formally democratic governments that are neither responsible nor responsive except to the demands of a very narrow group.
Thus, those who wish to aid democratisation have to make a political judgement. They need to decide whether democratisation is indeed the right path, who are its true supporters and whether they form an ‘adequately inclusive’ group. Pace the critics of the liberal peace, the starting point for this process of analysis and judgement has to be the normative commit-ment to a form of government that recognises human rights and political freedoms. It may permit more or less emphasis to be placed on individual rights or group rights – these are unresolved issues in political philosophy everywhere – but must have some underlying commitment to the idea of active citizenship and responsive government: a viable compact between those who hold power and those over whom it is held that respects the fundamen-tal principle of the consent of the governed.
8. Lessons learned
FriEnt has been active for ten years. This is an incredibly short period for making judgements about what works and what doesn’t in the lifetimes of countries and states and thus for learning lessons. The World Development Report 2011 suggests a successful transformation from approximately the condition of Haiti today to approximately the condition of Ghana can take 15-30 years. The history of development suggests that describes a successful trans-formation with a clear sense of travel throughout; historically, over 100 years was the norm. So if any lessons have been learned, they are limited, provisional and modest.
One such lesson might be that the transition process is dangerous.
A second might be to be careful of the fake legitimacy that democratic forms can bestow, especially when elections are held relatively soon after the end of open, armed conflict.
A third lesson and closely related lesson could be that it is almost always the old elite – or a well-organised fraction of it – that is the beneficiary of fake legitimacy when elections are premature.
A further lesson (but not only of the past decade – this lesson is as old as democracy itself) is that democracy can be as corrupt as dictatorship.
This suggests a fifth lesson that if a country is doing democracy, it should do it whole-heartedly, with transparency and anti-corruption norms, contract and property laws that do not favour the old power elite but treat all citizens equally, and policing and judicial systems that are well paid, well-trained and independent.
But the sixth and final lesson about democratisation must ineluctably be: “it’s the politics, stupid”. That is to say, what matters is not only democracy for, though it expresses basic values, it is also a means to an end. What matters is the legitimacy of the process of self-transformation that a country goes through – legitimacy for its citizens.
Essay by Dan Smith, Secretary General of International Alert
Essay by Dan Smith, Secretary General of International Alert
Thursday, February 2, 2012
From Presidentials to Legislative elections in Cameroon
Opening paper presented by Tanyi Christian
During the civil society Forum for Democracy Meeting
US Embassy, Yaoundé 13/12/2011
My dearest and respected colleagues of the civil society, its once more a great pleasure to see us regrouping after one year of serious reflection and contribution to our national politics. It was about 14 months ago that we started meeting under the common vision of shaping our national politics by strengthening our democratic processes. Our actions constituted a major contribution to the fundamental human rights – that of being able to chose our leaderships freely and participate in our national governments.
Though few in number, we saw for the first time in Cameroon a new dimension of commitment, material, moral and financial sacrifices by the civil society towards a common goal. We agreed on basic principles and ideas, we moved together to high places and at times through risky grounds.
Today we gather to take stock of what we gained and loosed during those days before, during and after the presidential elections and to define a new direction as we reflect on the level of human rights issues in our country. We have come this far yet we have a long road to go.
Our actions and agendas are not defined or directed by any political party, government or diplomatic missions. As you know, we take full responsibility for what we say and do during our gatherings. I know this gathering of humble, peace loving and patriots have been misunderstood, mislabeled by those who fear what is good and people focused.
We continue to thank all those organizations and diplomatic missions who over the year helped host some of our meetings. We challenge the government to open up public meeting grounds to allow us hold our meetings if they panic about where we hold our meetings.
On our democracy
We all know the truth about the last election. We know it was far from free, fair and transparent. We observed and noted the shortcomings. We know that unless we have a truly credible and dependable electoral body, our democracy will remain a simple illusion.
When an individual is no longer a true participant, when he no longer feels a sense of responsibility to his society, the content of democracy is emptied and the society therefore moves quickly to a state of fear, terror and dictatorship.
Human progress is neither automatic nor inevitable. Even a superficial look at history reveals that no social advance rolls in on the wheels of inevitability. Every step toward the goal of justice requires sacrifice, suffering and struggle; the tireless exertions and passionate concern of dedicated individuals like all of us gathered here today.
There can be no democracy without the respect of human rights or true human rights without true democracy.
We made significant engagement during the months and days leading to the election this year but somehow came short of making a remarkable finish. We slowed down and got divided by those who infiltrated our ranks. Thank God we realized this and are now regrouping and refocusing.
The presidential election is history but we have the golden opportunity to balance the ills of that election during the next twine elections in 2012. We must do all it takes to balance the powers of the executive with a strong legislative wing far meaningful than the window dressing assembly that we have seen in recent years.
My greatest fear is the level of violence that may come with the municipal and parliamentary elections if the same massive irregularities are allowed to happen. These two elections are more community-based than the presidential. The direction of the election can easily be influenced by the slightest irregularities at the community levels. Each voter knows the persons he/she is voting on a more personal basis and will not likely be indifferent in the face of any irregularity.
2012 therefore seem to be more demanding for us the civil society than 2011. We must talk less, engage more and take visible actions. To close the 2011 presidential election files, we will require the Supreme Court and ELECAM to publish the full detailed results by polling stations.
We must again engage with ELECAM to review performance of the last elections and take concrete actions to better the 2012 elections. As you know, there were many broken promises from ELECAM including an unexplained shut down of their website till today. The president and director general of ELECAM made statements relating to the shameful voters list mess. The truth remains the lack of political will of ELECAM to do well.
Last Saturday a new government was formed:
It is flooded with the same old names. It is the same big government and growing. At a time like this when our nation need to make significant advances in the quality of life of the citizens, big government is simply not the way forward. We need small, effective and efficient government. So we must understand that we will need to do more to keep this huge government under control, reduce waste, embezzlement and corruption.
We must have all read through the CONAC report, we appreciate the simple fact that they made such a report public but you may have realized that the published report is far less than expected as it fall short of key facts and investigations. CONAC must go above all obstacle to scrutinize the executive actions and policies, the legislative actions and policies to balance them we the nagging poverty at the grassroots. The special criminal court setup to handle cases of embezzlement will gain no public approval unless the fundamental problems linked with embezzlement are addressed such as the Non application or selective application of articles of our constitution. The starting point in the fight against corruption and embezzlement is the full implementation of article 66 and a critical review of the public servant pay package.
Unemployment is growing. Unfortunately our government still does not understand what it takes to create jobs. Simple economic knowledge will tell us that to create sustained jobs, we need to create worth. Worth is generated when the business environment is conducive and attractive to investors including among others, easy business registration, transparent and fair tax policies, stable political environment, independent judiciary and reduced corruption. This year we witnessed a politically motivated recruitment of 25,000 youths into the public service in addition to thousands recruited under the HIPC who are yet to have any salaries. At an average pay of 100,000, the new 25,000 will add 30 billion Francs CFA into the government pay roll each year. If instead the business environment was simplified to allow the same amount of money to be invested in youths at an average of 1 million per new small business, 30,000 new businesses would have been created. With each recruiting just one support staff, 60,000 Cameroonians will be in active employment generating worth which the state can then taxed. We the civil society have the responsibility to talk sense into our government at national and local levels.
The years of watching and ignoring are gone. We must start the long journey to a new nation where each individual can leave up to his/her full potentials and abilities. Such a road is definitely not going to be easy, smooth or without pains, but the end will be more enjoyable than the current suffering and dead spirits in this old nation.
In 2012 with more than 59 new ministerial positions and high profile post of responsibilities, multiplied by ten regions, divisions and sub divisions, we have a huge task to track down and report on the management of our state affairs and the tax payers’ money. Democracy does not end at having the right people in the right places. It includes holding the people accountable. I am sad that last Sunday during Cameroon calling, some of these appointed statesmen say they are accountable to the head of state and not to the Cameroonian people. The prime minister said “I am greatful to the Head of state and will work hard to serve him and then Cameroonians”. These are signals that we must do more to change the management of our state affairs from executive-based to people-focused.
Let me not take too mush of our time. I understand so well that all of us here know these things so well and are fully committed to contributing positively to better the conditions. Some say, change is hard to come and that what we are doing as civil society is a risky or difficult venture. YES, if everything was that easy, life will be a waste of time. I believe strongly that unless one has something so dear to his/her heart like the love for fatherland and citizens, there will be no reason to live. Based on this, we must work above self to serve our nation and its people while accepting any pains that may be unjustly inflicted on us for doing Good. This year, we must be ready to dramatize the ills of our political and democratic system as a way of bringing to focus the problems. It may not be easy.
- The need for a better communication unit for the forum harnessing mainstream media and the internet
- The need for a civil society assembly better structured to scrutinize government actions and policies
- The need to push for a more inclusive and open government
- The need for the civil society to design and implement a nation wide community sensitization on the creative selection of members of parliament.
- We need to engage ELECAM to define as early as possible all the mechanisms for the elimination of the multiple cards already in the hands of voters
- Civil society driven voters’ registration
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